Poll: Trump leads Biden in NC, other swing states

This combination of photos shows former President Donald Trump, left, and President Joe Biden, right. Biden and Trump are preparing for a possible rematch in 2024. But a new poll finds a notable lack of enthusiasm within the parties for either man as his party's leader, and a clear opening for new leadership. The poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research finds a third of both Democrats and Republicans are unsure of who they want leading their party. (AP Photo/File)

RALEIGH — A new series of swing state polls show former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in a prospective rematch of the 2020 presidential election.

The expansive poll, which surveyed over 5,000 registered voters across seven states, sampled 702 voters in North Carolina from Oct. 5 through Oct. 10.

In the Tarheel State, Trump leads Biden with 47% to 43%, with 3% opting for a third-party candidate and 7% undecided. The margin falls in line with several others in the swing-state poll.

In Arizona, the margin was 47% to 43%; in Georgia, 48% to 43%; in Pennsylvania, 46% to 45%; in Wisconsin, 46% to 44%. The two candidates were tied in Michigan at 44% apiece and Biden led in Nevada, 46% to 43%.

Morning Consult wrote in part of the result, “A 51% majority of swing-state voters said the national economy was better off during the Trump administration, and similar numbers said they would trust Trump over Biden on the economy going forward, 49% to 35%. Among independent voters, the chasm on trust to handle the economy is even wider, with a 22-point advantage for Trump.”

The polling showed Trump as the more trusted candidate on a number of other topics including immigration, infrastructure, U.S.-China relations and Ukraine.

The results indicated that economic concerns could be most problematic for the Biden team. Among the 16 issues asked of voters, the second-largest margin favoring Trump over Biden was the economy.

“Right now, Biden is not getting any credit for work he’s done on the economy,” said Caroline Bye, a pollster and vice president at Morning Consult in a summary of the results. “Almost twice as many voters in the swing states are saying that Bidenomics is bad for the economy, as opposed to good for the economy, which is a really startling fact if you’re the Biden campaign.”

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Matt Mercer is the editor in chief of North State Journal and can be reached at [email protected].