If President Donald Trump’s legal efforts are unsuccessful in securing a second term beginning in 2021, he would be at the top of the list of primary voters in 2024, according to a post-election survey of Republican voters.
Echelon Insights, a data, polling and research firm based in Washington, D.C., released the data taken from a mid-November survey of 1,001 verified voters.
The survey asked voters which candidates they would “consider” supporting in the Republican primary. Voters could choose multiple options.
Trump leads with 52% of voters but is followed closely by Pence, with 45%.
In third place is 2016’s runner-up, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, with 32%.
Rounding out the top five are Donald Trump Jr. with 22% and former South Carolina governor and U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, Nikki Haley, with 20%.
The survey also asked what concerned them the most about the Republican Party if Joe Biden became president.
Forty-four percent of voters said they were most concerned that new leaders wouldn’t fight like Donald Trump, by far the leading response. Abandoning Trump’s policies received 19%, and for 13%, their top concern was the party continuing to be run by Trump supporters.
In addition to the Echelon Insights poll, a poll conducted by the UNLV Lee Business School poll, in conjunction with British international gaming company BUSR, showed that Trump would overwhelmingly lead a 2024 N.C. presidential primary.
The UNLV poll also tested several names for the 2022 Republican primary, and Lara Trump held a one-point lead over former Gov. Pat McCrory. Mark Walker, who was the first Republican to formally announce a bid last week, took 7%.
An N.C. State professor of political science and international affairs, however, cast doubt on the UNLV poll’s value, saying on Twitter, “This means…. absolutely nothing at all.”